Hamilton's E-Wave Analysis

GOLD, Aug. Future

gold july 21 2015

This is the August future contract on the CME. We are just thinking aloud so do not take this too seriously!

There could be a triangle here. All waves within the triangle should be three’s.  a , c and e most certainly are; b and d lack clarity but they could be. Assume it is one than the “mouth” which is $240 wide projects a target of about 1200-240= $960 or roughly 4 lines lower than we are presently.

The high was at 1923 (spot) and the low in 2001 was 251, so gold travelled about $1672. Half of that is $836 on top of $251 equals $1087. You get the same result if you deduct $836 from $1923, if that works better for you. That is where we are now. 61.8% retracement would be 61.8×1672=$1033 From the top of 1923-1033=$890  I cannot verify these numbers but it appears that we might be going into the direction of a 62% retracement.

The $1000 even would be an acceptable compromise to both bull and bears. Time will tell.