TCW, Trican Well Services update

TCW nov 26 b 2012Tcw nov26 s 2012

Almost a year ago we called for this stock to top at about  $23, then drop to $5 but pause for a while around $10. $3 too early but in the mean time you would have saved roughly 1/2 of your money. The short term chart has a few ambiguities but nevertheless , looking at the “big picture” , there is once again an opportunity to save about 1/2 your money. See previous blogs.

RIM again

rim nov 22 2012 l

Today’s action, so far at least smells like a third of a third. It now looks like a double is in the cards or perhaps a lot more than that if you are patient. When and if it gets to around $14 or so stepping aside would make a lot of sense as chances would be pretty good that you will be able to buy it back at a lower price if the wave structure warrants it then. The boost today probable was caused by the analyst at National Bank, taking a brighter temporary view on the stock with a $15 target.

HPQ update

hpq nov 22 2012hpq nov 22 2012 s

We are there as expected, as close to $11 as you could wish for. The count on the small chart is unclear but on the big chart it is a nice 5 wave sequence  even if the waves 2 and 4 do NOT alternate , as normally they do. In any event we have repeated the tech crash and the company is thoroughly disliked by everyone after throwing away 8 bln. on an acquisition (for a second time). No new products in the pipeline and 3 CEOs in as many years. There is absolutely nothing to like about these guys/girls but that may just be the right moment to tip-toe into the waters.

Accumulate shares peace meal , use stops just below your price or play this one with options.

RIM update

rim nov 22 2012 brim nov 22 2012

See also previous blogs (the index is working again thanks to the best IT team in the world!). Twice we recommended buying this stock, each time it dropped a bit the days immediately afterward so if you had acted on that you should own the stock on average at around $7.60 or so. For reasons described in those blogs this stock should go up. It is now at $10.23, up 34%. Presently $11.17 (up 47%) is within reasonable possibilities as that represents the 4th wave of wave 5 of 5, more or less a minimum expectation. Ultimately it may go a lot further but we would recommend using a stop when going into the buy-and-hold mode,