The chart is from Bloomberg, I cannot find a longer one but the word is that it just hit a 25 year low. (see also previous blog under Baltic dry index). The highs and lows below the chart look odd simple because this particular way of presenting things was intended for stocks, not this index which is compiled once a day! This index has been very popular as a barometer of the wellbeing of the economies around the world as it tracks freight rates for 4 different classes of vessels on all the world’s major shipping routes. Unlike unemployment it is not easily manipulated, there are no seasonal adjustments, fictitious companies hiring or firing, or very convenient definitions. Late last year this index moved up briefly but then turned down again. This year it is down 62.5% and YoY 38.8%. Not good!!
Year: 2012
Dow Jones, again.
On closer inspection, I got the number wrong. It should be 12876 (2 May, 2011) and the high today is 12869.95 so there are still 6 ticks to spare. Should the scenario be negated, then it is worth keeping in mind that this is occurring on the Dow only (at least among major indexes) so the scenario would still be intact. Also the Dow might be the most watched but it is also the most easily manipulated (see previous blog on CAT), simple because just 3 or 4 stocks have a disproportionate effect on the Dow.