US Long bond, Jan 2010

This is close to my heart having spent half a lifetime just on this subject. However I never got to read the entire bible on technical analysis, BUT, if there ever was a H & S (Head and Shoulder) pattern staring you in the face , this is it,  To some people this is just some sort of shampoo but if this is going where I think it might it will clean a lot more than just your hair.

US 30year bondm Jan11,2010.

AAPL Jan 11, 2010

This stock has performed exceptionally well the last year or so. However with Steve Job time on the job a little more precarious perhaps it is soon time to exit.

AAPL Jan 11 2010 bigchart

AAPL Jan 11, 2010

The stock appears to have had a thrust out of a triangle, is approaching a channel line and may have completed a 5 wave pattern over the past 5/10 years. The high to date was 213 and as the last little bit does not appear complete the stock could still climb to about 225/230. Not very material relative to the upmove.

CM Jan 11. 2011.

Last year the target for CM was slightly above where we are now, say around $78 or so. This is where a 5th wave diagonal started its trip down and that is a normal retracement level . Also it is in the 50 to 60% normal rebound level. We have done this so I would be a seller, especially since the much better run Royal has already almost retraced its entire drop.

CM Jan 11 2010

RY Jan 11, 2011

The successful long CM short RY trades simple may not work anymore.