SU , Suncor, update

su occt 26 2011

We were a little early in recommending this stock (also PBN, Petrobakken). by saying that it was a buy under $30. As it went all the way to $24 that was not all that precise, but the position is nevertheless in-the-money by almost $3. $36 is near the 50% level and also where c=a in what appears to be a corrective rebound ( the wave count is questionable on the downside) . It has a few more dollars to go but we would be satisfied with a 10% gain!

DOW Chemical

This is the world’s second largest chemical company after Germany’s BASF, here are the charts;

DOW Chem dow chem 2

You can click on the charts to enlarge. The large B-wave on the left is particularly clear; it calls for new lows sometime in the future, that is below the roughly $7 back in March 2009. There are alternatives but none that are very plausible at this point.

On the short-term chart on the right, the 5 wave initial drop is equally clear on this stock. The drop is from roughly $44 to $20, almost cut in half. As always, a 50% or even larger rebound is normal. That could take this stock to $32, where, by coincidence , we would have a completed a-b-c wave 2 with c=a. It does not have to go that far and it can go a little further, but the structure is perfectly clear. Wave 3 etc will start at some point in the very near future and it will be fast and furious compared to what we have so far.

SBUX. Starbucks

sbux oct 2011

This was a sell before, the all time high in 2006 being about $40. It has been sitting here for about 4 months adding only a dollar or two at the most. Waves C and A are now equal. Perhaps another dollar is needed to get to the upper trend line but that should be it.