TSX 60 capped index, update.

TSX capped may 2012TSX capped nov 14 2012

The usual then (May 2012) and now charts. A little more than 1/2 year has passed and essentially nothing has happened. This has an enormously negative impact on the brain, especially for those without patience , which is just about everyone I know. In this particular case things are even worse than normal as it has already taken so much time Fortunately things are beginning to look up – that is down – when you look at this good-looking Head and Shoulders pattern that is developing. The right shoulder is now a little broader than the left one  (right skewed) which usually means that time is up and when things happen they will do so fast.

In EW terms there is either a 1-2, 1-2 situation, or just a simple a-b-c that has failed or might yet go a little higher. Alternatively a triangle (wave B not 4 is forming). This could still lengthen the time making the demands on our patience excruciatingly more painful. We would presently be about halfway in d with e still to follow. But things might get compressed from here on. All the issues from Europe, America, and even China have remained unresolved for such a long time that it is hard to see how the authorities could once again massage this thing upwards. Don’t change your mind now, just step aside.

Please click on the charts to enlarge. You can than read the fine print and move them around.

IMG, IAM Gold update

The then (June 3d) and now charts;

img june 2012img nov 14 2012

The predictive value of Elliott Wave never ceases to amaze me. The stock rebounds right into the area of the triangle as indicated after first dropping substantially in the b-wave of the a-b-c. We are now on our way to new lows, or, alternatively, this correction will become much more complex (don’t think so).

DJIA again

djia nov 13 2012

Here is that wedge again. We now know that it did indeed peak out on or about Oct. 8th. From there it has now dropped about 900 points in about a month, a respectable amount. It is now trading below levels first reached in April of 2012.  At least 2 QEs wasted! As far as I can see there is no plausible alternative scenario that would stop this drop until we reach the base of the wedge, that is at 9750 and at this pace we could be there by March of 2013.  So far we have not had the usual bounce back to the lower trend line. If we do it would be the last opportunity to get out.