This has been a pattern for the Nikkei that I have been looking at for the past year or two. You can find it in my blog in at least 3 different places. This pattern is an expanding diagonal triangle in Elliotte Wave lingo; in English it is an expanding wedge. A recent example where this occurred was with Ford when it dived to about $1.

As far as I know no other EW practitioner has had this possibility in mind, so it is pretty unique. Today (the chart is not updated) we are at about 8900. The low does not have to occur on the trend-line as often the low is reached well before that point is reached. It seldom exceeds that point. Even so a meaningful second down leg should be about 5000 points from the 10k level of the B-wave of wave 5. Lets hope I am dead wrong. Below is another chart from about a year ago.

In Jan. last year we put this out as a possibility for Japan’s Nikkei index. As each down-leg in this wedge should consist of 3 waves one would expect an “intermission” so to speak approximately at the mid-point. From the short-term chart , this time from Yahoo, finance, below, it would appear that that is exactly what we have been getting.

and Ford motor company using same Yahoo finance chart for that specific period.

Ford, of course shot up and now is over $18 but that is not the point. The pattern, that is the expanding diagonal triangle, is. With Ford I recognized the pattern well in advance of it’s completion but did not anticipate that it would go all the way to the lower trend-line and then some; $4 seemed low enough. Here we are at the exact same juncture with respect to the Nikkei. Looking also at other Japanese indexes as, for instance, EWJ, the movements for the past year or so look corrective supporting the notion that we are only in the b of wave 5 of this structure, so c is yet to come. Keep in mind, however , that you do not have to go to the trend-line, often as not the drop stops well before that!