ACQ, Auto Canada Inc.

acq jan 31 2015

A little less than a year ago this stock looked like a sell. It had a nice 5 wave sequence, the RSI was already overbought and the stock had gone vertical. Not very good advice as the stock managed another $30 from there. However, on the positive side we are now almost $30 below that point. This is a momentum stock which operates exclusively on the assumption that there will always be a greater fool to take the stock off your hands in the future. This works fabulously un till it does not, here that point is at about $90 where you sold.

These people sell cars and trucks in the province of Alberta in the Calgary area. Low gas prices are good for car and especially truck sales, but not in this province. It has now become a barometer of the wellbeing of the economy there.

The drop . so far, appears to be an a-b-c (rather than 5 waves). That could of course be all there is, the entire correction, but we suspect it is only half of it. In that scenario oil should stabilize or even go up $10 or so per barrel and things will look up a little (relatively speaking). Then the process could start all over again as the second a-b-c forms to complete the “double zig-zag”.

OTC, Open Text

otc jan 28 2015 lotc jan 28 2015 s

Exactly a year ago we thought this stock might be a good sell at about $110. It was immediately cut in half but that was due to a stock split 2 to 1, I think. Here we are up there again and it got wacked today. It looks like the start of something much bigger that should not stop before we are back at $50 (and , of course, more after that). A sell again.

By the way, we are not wed to this count. A 1-2, 1-2 start with two 4-5’s at the top might fit even better. The conclusion is no different.

DOW, update

dow jan27 2015 bdow jan 27 2015 s

Tomorrow, I think, is another Fed. day, or are there two. Either way in the next one or two days we should get a Yellen day. That is a day that is good for at least 300 points or so up not because there is a reason, just simple because it is a Yellen day.

The Dow displays the same triangle as we have seen all over the place. The c leg is just a little more complex but we are ready to go. The triangle, if that is what it is, measures about 1000 points so 18400 might be possible ( maybe a Yellen, Draghi, and Poloz day one after the other). The thought alone is disgusting.

As a caution, it should be kept in mind that there is a bearish alternate possibility. It is lurking in the bush;

6 bears