Dow again

dow march 9 2018 bdow march 9 2018

For the past 9 years or so, anytime you have a bullish or more bullish scenario and a less bullish scenario you always seem to have to chose for the more bullish one. The whole world wants the markets to go up. Having said that, I think the call is still correct, it will just take a little longer.

We had a 1-2 and from there another 1-2 but of a different (smaller) degree. If both are to end up looking more or less similar, that is wave 2 should retrace roughly 75% of the wave 1 before it, this last wave 2 could go as high as 25,400 , then wave 3 should start. Notice that in this event the two 1-2 look alike. like fractals.

Some have suggested that we might be tracing out a triangle and that there is yet another leg up to go. If our assumption is correct, that is if the first leg down from the peak was indeed a 5-wave affaire then this cannot be a triangle in the making as ALL legs in a triangle must be 3s. Also the new high in the Nasdaq does not necessarily support the idea that all other indices need to follow. There are irregular patterns that allow for a B-wave to exceed the starting point of A wave.

We will see.