SWI, Swisher Hygiene

Hamilton

Exactly a month ago we suggested that the stock could go to $8 or $10 if it went to the 4th wave of previous degree (that is on the way down). It actually went to $11 and then crashed as predicted by about one half or more. Here is the chart:

SWI detail

By having reached the 4th wave of previous degree and then some, the stock may have completed the up move for a good while. However, it also retraced almost perfectly to the bottom of a triangle, losing about 50% and doing so in a very clean a-b-c. This suggest that it could attempt a rise to $8.50 before anything else. The danger is that it has not (yet) reached $4 where it would (temporarily, perhaps) be a buy for a solid rebound. See chart below.

swi update

K.WT.C

Hamilton

 

 

k.wt.c may 2011

A quick note to the “recommendation” in my blog a week or so ago concerning these warrants. I am of the opinion that both gold and silver are making bubble highs and should not be bought. But, if you did insist in buying these stocks Kinross stands out as the best value and that one should not be bought, instead the warrant should be considered . You can only lose a single dollar but perhaps gain two or three whereas on K you can lose a dollar many times over.

K, Kinross , Kwtc , Gold, FX etc.etc.

Hamilton

K aprl 2011 k.wt.c

Lets suppose you like gold and more than anything else you like Kinross simple because it has been going down for the better part of two years , and now , appears to provide you with that missed opportunity. For the sake of argument, lets suppose you are absolutely correct. The next question would be why would you buy Kinross stock (left) if the warrants (right) provide a much better return? (see also previous blogs).

The argument to buy Kinross is a good one. The stock is down from $25 to $15 or, give or take 40% while gold is up by about;

GLD apr 2011 Can $ apr 2011

45% or so , as the Can $ rose by about 15%, for a net of about 30% (notice that I do not take the math too seriously) So, if Kinross was ever attractive, would it not be more so now that the stock is down 40% and the “stuff” up by about 30% , a net discrepancy of 70% (again, never mind the math)

  So, to get to the point, DO NOT EVER (at this time) buy Kinross , buy the warrant instead! You will lose a lot less if you are wrong, and make a lot more if you are right; and that is what investing nowadays is all about.

HL, Hecla

Hamilton

hl apr 2011 hl apr 2011s

Back in 2001 I just loved this stock. In the “team” that I worked in at the time, the unilateral message was that we do not buy this stuff, period. The stock went from less than $1 to over $8 in a relatively short time (3 years). We missed the boat. Now , of course precious stuff is what you should buy, simple because  Jim Rogers from Asia and every other investment advisor is saying so! Interestingly, this stock is about where it was 10 years ago. Which brings me to K.WT.C, see below;

k.wt.c

This requires a little more thought than usual, this is not a stock but a warrant ! Ask your broker, he will probable not know it exists. The point here is the pattern , no thought required, do they look alike?? If you answer in the affirmative , you may want to read on about gold , silver , FX and so on, next.