ELD, Eldorado

In our blog of June 6th, 2011, we established a reasonable target for this stock at about $5. Earlier we had a lower target and subsequently we suggested a target below $6 but above $4. (see all those blogs). We seem to have reached that target over the last few days, here are the charts;

eld feb 20 2015 beld feb 20 2015 s

Our best bet now is that the stock came down in a double zig-zag, that is an a-b-c X a-b-c where equality would have occurred at about $4. The low so far was at $5.45 after going nowhere for almost two years. It is still possible that the stock would go lower but this company recently reported improved results, a rare event in this business, so the risk of waiting might be greater than buying here. Otherwise, by all means wait for $4 and if it does get there buy it then.

G, Goldcorp,ELD Eldorado and XAU

g aug 17 2013eld aug 17 2013xau aug 17 2013

What applies to ABX is not unique to that stock even if its problems may be somewhat unique. The entire gold mining complex listens to the same drummer. Judging by the XAU the group is up about 30%  and both the c and a legs are more or less equal. We would step aside here. See all individual blogs. See also FNV which has the largest retracement.

ELD, Eldorado update

Then  (Sept. 2012) and now;

eld sept 2012eld june 21 2013

The target then, calculated on the basis of equality between the A and C legs worked out to , roughly, $5. The low, so far, is $6.23. We caught the high of the B-wave precisely to the tick (see previous blogs) so there is no reason to tempt the Gods for an encore. Suffice it that somewhere around here or a little lower, this low cost producer is a more attractive buy than at $22. By the way, $4 is roughly the low point in a 4th wave of previous degree.

ELD, Eldorado

The usual then, 6 of June 2011, and now charts;

eld b 6 june 2011eld sept 2012

Eldorado is another gold stock that we have commented on before and had completely forgotten. We singled out $10 as the ideal first target for this stock for the simple reason that it represented the base of a very clear wedge into the highs. The stock did exactly that and has been rebounding for quite a while. The nice thing is that the drop from $22 is a 5-wave sequence, clear as a bell and having an expanding wedge for wave 5. It has just retraced all of that 5th wave as is to be expected. In the mean time both the RSI and the MACD are at nose bleed levels indicating a turn soon. The stock has retraced about 50% of the fall and could do a little more (to $17 maybe??) , but once done the drop should resume with at least another 5 wave sequence. If the second leg is equal to the first it would target $5, very close to the low point of the expanding triangle wave 4 of previous degree. By the way, this is a very low cost producer!!