Baidu (BIDU) update

bidu b sept 2012bidu s sept 2012

Baidu has intrigued us, in good Chinese fashion it does not want to reveal it’s intentions. Last time (see previous blog) we were hesitatingly bullish on the stock with immediate target above $125 on account of the expanding wedge in June and July. It went to $140. For the past year or two the stock has stayed within a narrowing range between $165 and $100 (nice Fibo relationship). Then and now we are ambivalent but prefer the downside this time. The bullish case is represented by the purple triangle which is technically incorrect as both boundaries are downward sloping; they should be in opposite directions. Also we fell out of the channel, tried unsuccessfully to get back in making the blue interpretation more plausible. Also, we have not reached the 4th wave of previous degree ($90), nor have we retraced a decent  (50/60%) portion of the $150+ rise in the previous 3 years.

For the fun of it we have a chart below that has nothing whatsoever to do with Google but perhaps it does with china;

obfuscated stock

I know that the similarities are not perfect but clearly they do look alike and perhaps the common factor is China.  Where one goes the other might go as well. You can move the charts around to better compare. It is an ETF. This triangle, if there is one, is kosher so to speak.